Nigeria has dropped from Africa’s top 10 investment destinations to Number 14 as Egypt remains the number one nation.
According to a report by RMB, a division of FirstRand Bank Limited titled, ‘Where to Invest in Africa 2021,’ the ranking is based on countries operating environments.
RMB Africa Economist, Daniel Kavishe, said the pandemic ushered a new world and a new approach to this year’s list, noting that fiscal scores were important indicators of how governments respond to COVID-19.
The company listed the top 10 African countries to invest in as Egypt, Morocco, South Africa, Rwanda; Botswana, Ghana, Mauritius, Côte d’Ivoire, Kenya and Tanzania.
It ranked Nigeria outside the top 10 at Number 14.
In 2018 and 2019, Nigeria was ranked in the top 10 (eighth in both years), with ranks Number 13 in 2017 and six in 2016. In 2014, Nigeria ranked as number two and dropped to number five in 2015.
Kavishe said: “We created a new set of rankings that incorporated some of the unavoidable COVID-19-induced challenges, of which the operating environment score was one.
“The inclusion of a fiscal score in our rankings aimed to score governments’ fiscal positions and provided a basis from which investors can understand specific jurisdictions.
“Although the pandemic brought devastation, it also enabled opportunities for reimagining policies and trade relationships. Increasingly clear now is that home-grown strategies to tackle poverty, inequality and unemployment across Africa must be implemented. If not, all of Africa suffers.”
The RMB Africa Economist noted that capital will flow naturally to economies offering a good mix of opportunity and ease of doing business.
The company said, “The sheer size of Nigeria’s economy and large population base has undoubtedly aided the country’s economic environment and has led to an increase in investments in the economy over the past 10 years.
“The country boasts significant hydrocarbon resources and considerable agricultural and mining potential. With fiscal support expected to increase and continue over the next few years, given both the coronavirus shock and oil price collapse, the economy is expected to grow but at a slow and steady pace.
“One of the key tenets for its development will be the efforts that have been made to support small and medium enterprises through monetary policy reform. This should support the country’s efforts as it continues its expansion into sectors such as information technology.”
However, the company said Nigeria’s heavy reliance on oil is impacting its economy.
The company said, “Nigeria’s heavy reliance on oil means that the drop in oil prices and production generated by the OPEC+ agreement is strongly impacting the economy. COVID-19 came at a time when the economy was still rebalancing from the drop in oil prices during the 2014 to 2016 period.
“Therefore, a lower drop in reserves, tight liquidity and a weak currency can still be expected. The government, which has been criticised for its slow pace of reform, still faces a myriad of security challenges that destabilise the country, such as the activity of the Islamist terrorist group Boko Haram in the northeast, forcing many people to flee.”