National Grid Collapse: No End In Sight As Blackout Enters Day 2

Nigeria’s National Power Grid collapse entered the second day with no solution by the Ministry of Power, industry operators, thus leaving the entire country without electricity supply.

Monday’s collapse capped weeks of bickering among operators that have led to poor power generation by the electricity Generation Companies (GenCos).

The incompetence in the Minister of Power and the entire supervising Ministry and their parastatals is such that over 30 hours after the collapse, the National System Operator’s portal showed that no plant was on the grid.

The now usual emergency meeting of the operators with the government summoned by the Minister of Power failed to provide electricity, thus grounding the who nation to a halt.

On Sunday, the Association of Power Generation Companies (APGC) blamed poor management of the grid by the Transmission Company of Nigeria (TCN) as one of the factors responsible for low power generation in the country.

GenCos said most of their turbines have been damaged by inefficient management of the grid.

APGC Executive Secretary, Mrs Joy Ogaji said: “The GenCos are supposed to start and stop at most 20 times a year but in Nigeria, the GenCos start and stop 365 days every year and this wear and tear are affecting the plants which cause maintenance issues at a time when they should be optimal.

“Last year GenCos engaged an expert to investigate these issues, it was found that the ramp down and ramp-up has affected the turbines. For instance, Siemens has told Geregu to shut down the machines because if the start-stop continues it will destroy the three turbines until after maintenance. General Electric has also notified Calabar on a similar issue and awaiting maintenance.”

About two weeks ago, Minister of Power, Abubakar Aliyu, attributed the worsening power supply situation to low water level in the nation’s hydro dams.

Aliyu said: “I would like to discuss the increased load shedding you may have observed in Abuja and other areas in the country. With the reduction in Hydro capacity during the dry season, additional load needs to be taken up by our Gas plants.

“We are having maintenance work in the Eastern Axis around Odukpani leading to reduced power supply from the usually reliable NDPHC Calabar Power Plant and we are having challenges at Okoloma Gas Station linked to Afam VI power plant.

“We are working with NNPC and other Gas suppliers also to improve the pressure on the Western Axis that is precluding units from reaching optimum supply. These challenges are surmountable and we have a three-pronged approach we are executing.

“We are working on more firm gas supply contracts for the Power sector backed by improved liquidity. These contracts will have stiff financial penalties for underperformance.

“Increase energy mix to improve energy security … we will complete the Zungeru Hydro plant, the Katsina Wind plant, Kashimbila Hydro as well as ensure the challenges with Gurara are permanently resolved (partnering with the Ministry of Water). We are also working to resolve issues that have prevented large On-grid Solar from taking off in Nigeria.”

The Transmission Company of Nigeria (TCN) had admitted that the country’s power supply has nosedived with challenges at over 14 generation plants keeping output at record low.

According to the agency, power generating profile in the last two months showed that 14 gas stations were either not generating at all or had limited generation at various times within the period.

Spokesperson for TCN, Ndidi Mba, said the development further depleted the quantum of power generation available for transmission into the grid on daily basis.

This is coming at a time consumers are expected to pay more for electricity under the Service Based Tariff (SBT). The SBT was introduced on the ground that power will improve. Instead, the situation went from bad to worse.

With the terrible situation which most industry players and consumer right groups already described as ‘payment for darkness,’ Nigerians, in the past eight years spent about N5.7 trillion on electricity as supply averages 4,000 megawatts, about the same level it was eight years ago.

Statistics from Nigerian Bulk Electricity Trading (NBET) Plc showed that an average of N720 billion worth of electricity bill is processed yearly in the country, bringing the cost to about N5.7 trillion in the last eight years. Electricity users in Nigeria settle these bills with measurable subsidy from the Federal Government.

According to Mba, “currently, the cumulative generation nationwide is low and generation companies have attributed this to several factors including poor gas supply, faults in generating units, scheduled and unscheduled maintenance, all of which have caused most power companies to limit their generation, or sometimes not generate at all.

“A summary of the power generating profiles in the last two months, for instance, clearly shows that 14 gas-powered stations were either not generating at all or had limited generation at various times within the period, further depleting the quantum of power generation available for transmission into the grid on a daily basis.”

“Power generating stations in this category include: Omotosho units five and six; Olorunsogo units three, four and six; Omoku units three and six; Omotosho NIPP units three and four; Delta units 15, 17, and 18; Afam VI units 11 and 12; Olorunsogo NIPP unit three; Ihovbor NIPP unit two; Sapele Steam unit three; Sapele NIPP unit three; Odukpani NIPP units one and three, and Okpai units 11, 12 and 18.”

She noted that Jebba Hydro and Shiroro Power Generating Stations were either out or had limited generation, causing additional loss of 232MW from the grid, while other power generating plants such as Omotosho units three and four; Olorunsogo units one; Delta units 10 & 20; Afam VI unit 13; Ihovbor NIPP units 4; Geregu NIPP units 22 and 23 and Odukpani NIPP units 2, 4 and 5, have also been out, either on fault or for scheduled maintenance, causing a further loss of about 3,180MW from the grid.

Mba said a combination of the above scenarios have persisted and the total effect on the grid remained persistent low generation, which TCN operators have had to strive to dispatch in a way that will not jeopardise the stability of the grid.

She added: “More recently, from March 1 to 4, 2022, there was generation shortfall due to water management in Shiroro and Jebba hydro with the loss of 307MW and 125MW respectively from both stations. Within the same period, there were faults and technical problems in Egbin, causing 514MW shortfall and in Geregu, causing 230MW shortfall, while reported fault at Alaoji NIPP reduced generation from the substation by 263MW.

“Gas constraint alone in Olorunsogo gas generating plant reduced generation at the station by 104MW. In the same vein, Omotosho gas lost 102MW and Sapele NIPP lost 263MW. In Omotosho NIPP, there was generation shortfall of 233MW and in Omoku a shortfall of 112MW. Two units in Okpai have limited generation due to technical problems causing a 204MW drop in generation and in Afam VI 511MW drop in generation.

“Gas constraint and fault in Olorunsogo NIPP reduced generation by 240MW, Geregu NIPP by 435MW, and Ihovbor by 142MW. Also, due to gas pipeline pigging, Odukpani NIPP was shut down, which caused reduction of generation by 575MW.

“TCN further reiterates that a combination of issues ranging from gas constraints, faults, and technical problems within generating plants caused persistent low generation and consequently low load allocation to distribution companies nationwide. This is based on the fact that TCN can only transmit what is being generated by GenCos and currently they are all generating below capacity.”

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